根据美国最大的行业研究出版商IBIS的调查预测，中国的钢铁铸造收入在今后五年中年均增长率将达9.7%，到2016年收入将达约8.67亿人民币（1.37亿美元）。 在过去五年中由于下列原因中国该行业的收入增长没这么高：预期的人民币升值；不稳定的欧洲经济形式对中国出口产生了负面影响；和总体市场需求增速减缓。另外，原材料尤其是铁矿石的价格上升的预期也给这个行业添加了额外的压力。
中国已经成长为世界上最大的钢铁铸造生产基地。中国在过去7年中钢铁铸件的产量一直居各国首位。在2002年中国钢铁铸造产量达到1630万吨，相当于美国和日本同期铸造钢铁产量的总和。而中国钢铁铸造产出持续增长，到2008年时达到年产3350万吨。IBIS预计中国2011年的钢铁铸造总产量将达到4660万吨。
在过去五年中，受中国低成本劳动力的吸引，来自包括美国、日本、德国和英国等国的外资铸造企业投资逐年递增。但是在中国的铸造厂生产的铸件科技含量远远低于在美国生产的铸件。美国铸件产量位居世界第二。在过去5年中原材料如生铁、焦炭和钢废料的价格急剧上涨也给这个行业造成了负面影响。由于成本高质量低，利润也少了。在今后五年中铸造企业需要投资先进设备和先进技术来增加效率，提高产品的价值和减少废品率。现在中国铸造业的废品率高达20%。
在2010年这个行业逐渐走出金融危机的阴影。受益于产量的增加和产品价格的上涨同年行业收入增长了28.5%达到4.58亿人民币（7270万美元）。由于核电和水电工业需求的增加和37亿元（5.91亿美元）用于灌溉的政府投资，预计2011年国内需求还会增加。受此影响2011年该行业收入增长将达到19%。
------------------------翻译：中国铸造网 -----------------------------
Over the next five years, the Iron and Steel Casting industry in China is forecast to experience revenue growth by an average annual rate of 9.7%, to reach $137.6 billion in 2016. Growth will be lower than it was over the past five years due to the following: expected appreciation of the RMB; Europe's volatile economic situation, which will negatively affect Chinese exports; and overall slower growth in market demand. In addition, the prices of raw materials, especially iron ore, are forecast to increase, adding a burden to the industry, according to IBISWorld, America’s largest publisher of industry research.
Los Angeles, CA (PRWEB) December 17, 2011
Over the next five years, the Iron and Steel Casting industry in China is forecast to experience revenue growth by an average annual rate of 9.7%, to reach $137.6 billion in 2016. Growth will be lower than it was over the past five years due to the following: expected appreciation of the RMB; Europe's volatile economic situation, which will negatively affect Chinese exports; and overall slower growth in market demand. In addition, the prices of raw materials, especially iron ore, are forecast to increase, adding a burden to the industry, according to IBISWorld, America’s largest publisher of industry research.
China has grown to be the largest production base for iron and steel casting in the world. By volume, China's annual casting output has been the highest in the world for the past seven years, producing 16.3 million tons of castings in 2002, equal to the United States' and Japan's combined output. This increased steadily to 33.5 million tons in 2008. IBISWorld forecasts that China's casting output will total 46.6 million tons in 2011.
Over the past five years, low labor costs in China attracted increased investment from foreign casting enterprises, including those from the United States, Japan, Germany and Britain. However, the technological content of casting made in Chinese foundries was far lower than those produced in the United States, which ranked second in the world in casting output. Price surges in raw materials, such as pig iron, coke and steel scrap, also negatively affected the industry over the past five years. With these higher costs and lower quality, profitability decreased. In the next five years, enterprises will need to invest in advanced equipment and technology to increase efficiencies, add value to the products and reduce defective goods, which currently make up about 20% of total output.
In 2010, the industry gradually recovered from the financial crisis. Industry revenue increased by 28.5% to $72.7 billion due to accelerating casting output growth and rising product prices. Domestic demand is expected to grow in 2011 due to the rapid demand growth in nuclear and hydropower industries and the $590.8 billion government investment on irrigation construction. This will help industry revenue to grow by 19.0% for the year.
